Wednesday, February 02, 2005

How nigh is the end, really?

With the newspapers full of stories of global warming, it seems that - to coin a phrase - we're all doomed. If the overwhelming majority of climate scientists are right, a global rise in temperature of 1-4 centigrade is already in the post, with consequences of rising sea levels, rapidly changing ecosystems and mad weather. If their worst fears are realised, the change could be as much as 11 degrees, which would be apocalyptic on a geological scale.

But doesn't part of every generation believe itself to be living at the end of days? When I was a kid, it was nuclear war, or the return of the ice age (or both). St Paul believed the day of judgement was upon us, and that torch has been handed down for1900 years. Every civilisation has its prophets of doom. The irony is that sooner or later, the stormcrows are right.

So are we the final generation? The final desperate flowering on the ailing tree of humanity? Are we wasting our time educating our kids for the information economy, when they'd be better served learning the survival skills and bushcraft needed to start from scratch in a Wyndhamesque new Eden? Or should we all just stop worrying and learn to love the smog?

11 Comments:

At 2:37 PM, Blogger voxScience Team said...

Josh picks up on an interesting point...there have been so many prophets of doom over the years and the world does't yet seem to have come to an end. Perhaps this is why we don't take global warming etc that seriously - we just view it as another lot of doom-mongerers producing a 'scare story' that in a few weeks/months will have passed us by and we'll no doubt be told to start worrying about something else....already seen predications in the papers that the new flu vius/Asian bird flu is likley to wipe out large percentage of the population......It's all a bit depressing. We've decided that the best thing to do is stay home, make a brew, open the Jaffa cakes and get blogging!!....or are we going to be told that Jaffa cakes are the next threat to civilisation as we know it?

The voxScience Team...

 
At 1:16 PM, Anonymous Helen Featherstone said...

This is something I am interested in. I am currently studying for a PhD, looking at how climate change is communicated through the media and what we, as media consuming publics, do about the information we receive.

Of course, there are always 'scare stories' or doom-mongerers who occupy our thoughts. But what would we do without them? Surely by raising these issues they enter the public consciousness, become talking points and things get done to mitigate the effects if they are needed.

It's also very difficult to judge whether something was a legitimate threat when actions have been taken to reduce the threat. Is there any way of knowing what would have happened had the doom-mongerers not had their say?

I think climate change is in danger of being such an unknowable threat. So when the sea level doesn't rise and we don't have malaria in the UK in 20 years time, who is right: the doom-mongerers or the nay-sayers?

Helen

 
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